Cards - Reds race for the NL Central

Can't take credit for these numbers... I lifted them from a great sports blog (heavy on Cincinnati sports) written by Cincinnati sports talk radio host Lance McAlister.

*Doing the math

Reds 79-58....6 game lead with 25 games remaining
Cards 72-63.....27 games remaining

If Reds go 15-10 (94-68)
Cards must go 22-5 (.815) to tie

If Reds go 13-12 (92-70)
Cards must go 20-7 (.741) to tie

If Reds go 12-13 (91-71)
Cards mut go 19-8 (.704) to tie

If Reds go 12-13 (91-71)
Cards must go 19-8 (.704) to tie

If Reds go 11-14 (90-72)
Cards must be 18-9 (.667) to tie

*http://www.1530homer.com/pages/lancesBlog.html